Research

The Politics of Police Reform in the States. June 2024.

When Competence is Conservative: Obstacles to the Electoral Success of Progressive Prosecutors. March 2024.

Trust in the State Vote Count, 2020-2022. With Jesse T. Clarke and Charles Stewart III. December 2023.

Protests and Polarization: How Black Lives Matter Changed Attitudes Toward Police. August 2023.

Can Public Policy Influence Public Opinion? Studying Feedback Effects and Elite Influence Using the Affordable Care Act. Political Science Quarterly Online First. June 2024.

The Nationalized Politics of Police Reform. The Forum 22(1): 71-96. June 2024.

Attitudes Toward Police and Police Spending. Public Opinion Quarterly 88(2): 431–441. June 2024.

Measuring Attentiveness in Self-Administered Surveys. With Adam J. Berinsky, Alejandro Frydman, Michele F. Margolis, and Camilla Valerio. Public Opinion Quarterly 88(1): 214–241. March 2024.

Review of the Annenberg IOD Collaborative’s Democracy amid Crises: Polarization, Pandemic, Protests, and Persuasion. Perspectives on Politics 21(4): 1468-1469. December 2023.

Legitimate Questions: Public Perceptions of the Legitimacy of US Presidential Election Outcomes. Research and Politics 10(4): 1–8. October 2023.

Defund My Police? The Effect of George Floyd’s Murder on Support for Local Police Budgets. Journal of Politics 85(3): 1156–1160. July 2023.

The Importance of Issue Representation in a Polarized Congress. With Joshua D. Clinton and Mary Catherine Sullivan. Accountability Reconsidered: Voters, Interests, and Information in US Policymaking edited by Charles Cameron, Brandice Canes-Wrone, Sanford Gordon and Greg Huber. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. February 2023.

Voters and Donors: Unequal Political Consequences of Fracking. With Hye Young You. Journal of Politics 84(3): 1667-1682. July 2022.

Presidential Approval and the Inherited Economy. American Journal of Political Science 65(4): 938-953. October 2021.

State Policy and Mental Health Outcomes under COVID-19. With Andrea L. Campbell. Journal of Health Politics, Policy, and Law 46(5): 811-830. October 2021.

Do District Attorneys Represent Their Voters? Evidence from California’s Era of Criminal Justice Reform. Journal of Political Institutions and Political Economy 2(2): 169-197. June 2021.

Using Screeners to Measure Respondent Attention on Self-Administered Surveys: Which Items and How Many?. With Adam J. Berinsky, Michele F. Margolis, and Christopher Warshaw. Political Science Research and Methods 9(2): 430-437. April 2021.

Policy Effects, Partisanship, and Elections: How Medicaid Expansion Affected Public Opinion Toward the Affordable Care Act. With Joshua D. Clinton. Journal of Politics 83(2): 498-514. April 2021.

When Voters Matter: The Limits of Local Government Responsiveness. Urban Affairs Review 57(2): 402-427. March 2021.

Missing the Target? Using Surveys to Validate Social Media Ad Targeting. Political Science Research and Methods 9(1): 215-222. January 2021.

Intraparty Polarization in American Politics. With Eric Groenendyk and Kirill Zhirkov. Journal of Politics 82(4): 1616-1620. October 2020.

• Media coverage: New York Times

Exploitative Revenues, Law Enforcement, and the Quality of Government Service. With Rebecca Goldstein and Hye Young You. Urban Affairs Review 56(1): 5-31. January 2020.

• Media coverage: New York Times, Governing

Review of James E. Campbell’s Polarized: Making Sense of a Divided America. Party Politics 25(6): 863-864. November 2019.

How Unusual Was 2016? Flipping Counties, Flipping Voters, and the Education-Party Correlation Since 1952. Perspectives on Politics 17(3): 666-678. September 2019.

• Media coverage: Economist, Washington Times

Who Participated in the ACA? Gains in Insurance Coverage by Political Partisanship. With Joshua D. Clinton. Journal of Health Politics, Policy, and Law 44(3): 349-379. June 2019.

Ideology and Vote Choice in U.S. Mayoral Elections: Evidence from Facebook Surveys. Political Behavior 40(3): 737-762. September 2018.

Something for Something: How and Why Direct Democracy Impacts Service Quality. Quarterly Journal of Political Science 13(1): 29-57. April 2018.

The Politics of Policy: The Initial Mass Political Effects of Medicaid Expansion in the States. With Joshua D. Clinton. American Political Science Review 112(1): 167-185. February 2018.

• Media coverage: New York Times, Vox

Partisan Differences in Nonpartisan Activity: The Case of Charitable Giving. With Michele F. Margolis. Political Behavior 39(4): 839-864. December 2017.

• Media coverage: Christian Science Monitor, The Atlantic, The Boston Globe, Pacific Standard, The Monkey Cage

Attribution Errors in Federalist Systems: When Voters Punish the President for Local Tax Increases. Journal of Politics 79(4): 1286-1301. October 2017.

• Media coverage: The Boston Globe

Who Pays for Government? Descriptive Representation and Exploitative Revenue Sources. With Hye Young You. Journal of Politics 79(3): 1090-1094. July 2017.

• Media coverage: The Boston Globe, Economist, Vox

Can We Convert Shirkers Into Workers?. With Adam J. Berinsky and Michele F. Margolis. Journal of Experimental Social Psychology 66: 20-28. September 2016.

The Distributional Impact of Greater Responsiveness: Evidence from New York Towns. Journal of Politics 78(1): 105-119. January 2016.

Partisanship and Confidence in the Vote Count: Evidence from U.S. National Elections since 2000. With Charles Stewart. Electoral Studies 40: 176-188. December 2015.

• Media coverage: New York Times (2020), New York Times (2016), NPR

Closeness Counts: Increasing Precision and Reducing Errors in Mass Election Predictions. With Kai Quek. Political Analysis 23(4): 518-533. September 2015.

Constituencies and Public Opinion. With Andrea L. Campbell. The Oxford Handbook of U.S. Social Policy edited by Daniel Béland, Christopher Howard, and Kimberly J. Morgan. Oxford University Press. December 2014.

Separating the Shirkers from the Workers? Making Sure that Subjects Pay Attention on Self-Administered Surveys. With Adam J. Berinsky and Michele F. Margolis. American Journal of Political Science 58(3): 739-753. July 2014.

State Fiscal Policy during the Great Recession: Budgetary Impacts and Policy Responses. With Andrea L. Campbell. Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science 650(1): 252-273. November 2013.

• Media coverage: The Monkey Cage

Is Money in Politics Harming Trust in Government? Evidence from Two Survey Experiments. Election Law Journal 12(1): 53-73. March 2013.

Disenfranchisement through Divorce? Estimating the Effect of Parental Absence on Voter Turnout. Political Behavior 35(1): 199-213. March 2013.

Conducting Online Experiments on Mechanical Turk. With Adam J. Berinksy and Kai Quek. The Experimental Political Scientist 3(1): 2-6. May 2012.